The image was both impressive and incongruous: tens of mostly young people sitting on the dusty ground in a rural setting watching on an old TV set, hastily mounted on the wall, a high-tech vehicle landing on the lunar surface while on a little window on the screen Prime Minister Modi follows the proceedings rather bemused, sitting afar in the BRICS meeting in South Africa with a small Indian flag at hand. All the contradictions of the great country that is India in one flickering electronic picture. Earlier this year, India superseded China as the largest population on earth reaching 1,43 billion people or 17,76% of the world – with the added advantage of being the most populous democracy in the planet. She is currently the 5th largest economy in the world, bypassing the UK, the erstwhile colonial power and set to be the 3rd by the year 2030. India is currently chairing the G20 and plays a leading role among the BRICS – the group originally created in 2006 created by Brazil, Russia, India, China and later South Africa as an alternate power pole, very recently enlarged by Saudi Arabia, Iran, Ethiopia, the United Arab Emirates, Argentina and Egypt. The contrast with Greece, an economy just very recently emerging from a catastrophic crisis with a declining aging population, tagged at a European promontory amid a sea of troubles, could not be more acute. And yet, far and away, distant and yet in crossing routes, India and Greece share quite a lot: from their shared ancient civilisations to their contemporary commercial, military and educational ties.

A commercial corridor

One of the many lessons taught by the pandemic was the precarious nature of a perennially rolling corridor, transporting merchandise from East to West, thus eliminating the need for storage. It was the shipping industry, that never stopped working during that difficult period, and secured the provisioning of our societies with medical equipment and victuals. That conclusion has certainly made an impression to the Indian government as well. The theme of India’s G20 Presidency: Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam | One Earth – One Family – One Future may well be drawn from the ancient Sanskrit text of the Maha Upanishad but it clearly reflects contemporary concerns related to the preservation of a sustainable environment, the challenges of climate change, the underlying commonality of the human fate. If, along the way, it may help to generate a new commercial corridor, contrary or complementary to the Chinese concept of One Belt One Road, so much the better.

It is in fact an ambitious goal, which elevates the Greek-Indian relationship into a ‘Strategic Partnership’, the third India has engaged in next to those with France and Germany, […] thus transforming the commercial transactional trade into a wider cooperation across the board. 

Under these conditions, the geographical position of the port of Piraeus acquires an obvious added value, both as a Greek entry port but also as the gateway to the European market. And that realisation stands as the basis and the reason behind the avowed goal of the parties in their Athens meeting to double the volume of the bilateral commerce by 2030, starting from the USD 2 billion worth of value during the period 2022-2023. It is in fact an ambitious goal, which elevates the Greek-Indian relationship into a ‘Strategic Partnership’, the third India has engaged in next to those with France and Germany. In the words of Prime Minister Modi: “We have decided to boost cooperation in areas of defence and security, infrastructure, education, new and emerging technologies and agriculture”, thus transforming the commercial transactional trade into a wider cooperation across the board. This is not coming out of the blue. Political consultations between Greece and India have been going on for quite some time, with the 13th round being held in June 2023 at the level of the Secretaries General of the respective Ministries of Foreign Affairs. Already in 2022, a Protocol on trade, energy, tourism and maritime cooperation was signed in Athens during the 8th session of the Greece-India Joint Economic Committee. Such a dramatic increase in trade volume and the underlying strengthening of institutional arrangements would also serve as a test drive for a wider and much more encompassing Free Trade Agreement between India and the European Union, of which -we often forget- Greece is one of the members of longest standing. It is to be reminded that, after a cooling period, on 17 June 2022 negotiations were relaunched between the parties with a view to achieving a wide-ranging Free Trade Agreement, which would eventually be complemented by separate agreements on investment protection and on geographical indications. If and when brought to fruition, these agreements would significantly improve the ties between two huge markets: currently, the EU is India’s third largest trading partner, amounting to more than 10.8% of the total Indian trade whereas India is at the tenth position of the European list with just 2,1% of the total EU trade. Already, Indian companies have made their presence felt in Greece in some of the areas targeted by the recent agreements. Construction and pharmaceutical companies are already active in each other’s markets. Science and technology projects, including the high-tech element of the Indian industry, would be welcomed as investors in Greece; they fall in with the overall policy of attracting high-value services ideal for the well-educated and trained segment of the Greek workforce. Trade in agricultural products is also increasing with significant investment made by Greek companies in India and the import/export volume significantly and steadily climbing. To that effect, the parties also signed a Memorandum of Understanding on cooperation in the field of agriculture, including the establishment of a Hellenic-Indian Joint Sub-committee on Agriculture for facilitating sectoral cooperation for mutual benefit.

Agreements that would allow workers to be made available upon request in an organized and well-regulated manner would also act as an acceptable alternative to the large number of migrants, who find their way to Europe in illegal crossings, often with tragic results.

An important additional element in that respect relates to the facilitation of lawful migration, in the form of either seasonal agricultural workers or temporary construction and industrial workers. Greece, as almost all western economies, is challenged by a severe lack of working hands, which may well impede its long-term economic development. Agreements that would allow workers to be made available upon request in an organized and well-regulated manner would also act as an acceptable alternative to the large number of migrants, who find their way to Europe in illegal crossings, often with tragic results as the recent overburdened and capsized boat off the coast of Pylos has demonstrated – whereas their transitional time-limited nature may well make the whole idea of migration more palatable to a European political body, who is ready to lapse into hate speech with racist overtones and extreme political choices. The eventual success or failure of such schemes would be perceived as test runs for the wider discussion on the European Asylum and Migration Pact, which after almost seven years of negotiations remains elusive. Similar lessons drawn from experience may also be available in other areas, in parallel to mutual benefit considerations. One such area is energy. Mainly as a result of the war in Ukraine, Greece has become an energy transit hub, with a reverse flow towards the Balkans, Eastern Europe and the Ukraine as opposed to the more traditional north-south trajectory. Its avowed goal, nowadays, is to become a major energy producer, banking on the geographical benefit of abundant sun and wind. On the other hand, India was instrumental in creating jointly with France, the International Solar Alliance, an attempt to bring together smaller and poorer States into efforts to combat the repercussions of climate change through the deployment of solar energy. Greece was only too happy to join another 100 of so States, lying in the sunshine zone between the tropic of Cancer and the Tropic of Capricorn. The action is certainly complementary to the energy-related initiatives and projects currently in various stages of development in the Eastern Mediterranean and offer an international platform to an essential Greek and (once again) European regional policy.

A strategic security alliance

If the commercial part of the bilateral relations serves as an experiment in identifying best practices suitable for the wider European market, questions of security serve as an important counterbalance to the rigours of the Mediterranean neighbourhood.

The extension of the regional onto the global is particularly important for the burgeoning security and military coordination. If the commercial part of the bilateral relations serves as an experiment in identifying best practices suitable for the wider European market, questions of security serve as an important counterbalance to the rigours of the Mediterranean neighbourhood. This military parameter combines both bilateral and regional parameters. Indian frigates have paid visits to Souda Bay in Crete and trained with their Greek counterparts. Indian air force has already joined the Greek air force in joint exercises and have exchanged training visits with a view to establishing a more systematic and closer association. Both countries operate in often hostile neighbourhoods and it does seem that they would like to combine their experience and expertise and exchange best practices both in the military field and in the diplomatic arena. This type of cooperation does not only serve as a liaison with the NATO military arrangements. They extend also to wider security concerns, promoting freedom of navigation in the oceans in accordance with the Law of the Sea Convention. India is particularly interested in safeguarding Critical Maritime Routes in the Indo-Pacific, thus creating a maritime counterpart to the One Belt – One Road initiative, with obvious benefits for the Greek shipping industry as well. There is a CMR Indo-Pacific programme in full deployment for the period 2025-2024, to which the European Union (and consequently Greece) is committed and is directly linked to the EU Critical Maritime Route Wider Indian Ocean – CRIMARIO. Both projects tie in with the recently approved Critical Infrastructure Directive 2022/2557 on the resilience of critical entities, which came into force on 16 January 2023. The Directive applies to safe maritime infrastructure, such as ports, storage facilities, refuelling and cleaning services. Its remit expands into three priority areas: preparedness, response and international cooperation; and over 11 sectors: energy, transport, banking, financial market infrastructures, health, drinking water, wastewater, digital infrastructure, public administration, space, and food. Member-States are mandated to produce revised risk assessments and stress tests by 18 October 2024 and have a National Strategy adopted by 18 January 2026. Precise deadlines aside, the commitment to an increased security effort is indisputable and may well extend to civilian areas as well. Related to climate change concerns but with a strong security element is another Indian initiative, which Greece has been invited to join. The Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI) attempts to generate projects, that may sustain the vigour of repeated natural disasters, the scope and frequency of which are already increasing.

A cultural exchange of long standing

More mundane but arguably even more influential are the cultural exchanges between the two countries. Although well aware of each other at least since the time of Alexander the Great, the two countries have only started an organized academic cooperation, looking for joint courses and degrees for their respective universities and research institutions. The action is well timed to coincide with the current swell of extroverted activities launched by the Greek universities in an impressive number of English-speaking programmes. The exchange of students is well complemented by increased numbers of tourists arriving in both countries, further enhanced by direct air links between Athens and Delhi. The familiarity with ideas, philosophies, occasionally even mentalities may well decimate the long distance, that has kept us apart for so many centuries.

Anil Trigunayat India and Greece Moving into a Strategic Orbit