The annual report prepared by Eda Gemi, Research Associate, ELIAMEP and Bledar Feta, Research Fellow, Wider Europe Programme, ELIAMEP for the OECD Network of International Migration Experts offers a comprehensive and analytically rich assessment of Greece’s migration landscape during 2024–2025, a period marked by moderated inflows, administrative modernisation, and a more securitised approach to border and asylum governance.
Drawing on the latest statistical data, legislative developments, and administrative practices, the report examines how Greece’s migration system is evolving amid demographic pressures, labour market needs, and heightened scrutiny over fundamental rights compliance. The analysis captures both quantitative trends and qualitative policy shifts, providing an authoritative overview of migration flows, legal residence, asylum procedures, integration policies, labour market participation, and citizenship acquisition.
You can read the full national report about Greece here.
You can read the 2025 edition of International Migration Outlook produced by OECD here.
Key themes explored in the report
- Migration flows and asylum trends: Arrivals surged in 2024 before moderating in 2025, while asylum applications declined and recognition rates fell. Persistent backlogs and a widening gap between arrivals and returns underscore structural imbalances. The period was further shaped by allegations of pushbacks and the temporary suspension of access to asylum procedures for specific categories of new arrivals.
- Legal residence and long-term settlement: The legally residing migrant population continued to expand, reaching 916,697 persons in October 2025. Naturalisation increased, particularly among second‑generation applicants, signalling deeper settlement patterns. Yet administrative delays and reliance on temporary certificates heightened precariousness for long-term residents.
- Labour market and integration: Migrant labour participation remained strong, with unemployment among foreign nationals dropping to 9.7% in Q3 2025. Integration governance consolidated further, especially for unaccompanied minors, while increasingly linking residence and protection to labour market participation, reflecting a shift toward conditional inclusion.
- Reception, enforcement, and border management: Island reception centre populations fell sharply, indicating decongestion. At the same time, enforcement intensified, particularly in return policy, while irregular stay apprehensions declined. These developments unfolded against a backdrop of growing domestic and international scrutiny.
A governance model at a crossroads
The period 2024–2025 emerges as a transitional yet tension‑filled phase in Greece’s migration governance, marked by a structural rebalancing between administrative consolidation and intensified enforcement. While arrivals moderated in 2025 after the sharp increase of 2024, pressures on the asylum system remain substantial, reflected in expanding backlogs, declining first‑instance recognition rates, and persistent disparities between arrivals and effective returns. Administrative digitalisation, procedural streamlining, and the expansion of selected legal and investment‑based migration pathways signal efforts toward institutional modernisation and closer alignment with EU standards. At the same time, a more restrictive and securitised orientation has taken hold, exemplified by the temporary suspension of access to asylum procedures for specific categories of new arrivals and the reinforcement of return enforcement mechanisms, developments that have heightened domestic and international scrutiny, particularly in light of allegations of pushbacks and broader concerns regarding compliance with fundamental rights obligations.
The legal residence framework continues to expand quantitatively, with growth in valid permits and consolidation of long‑term settlement patterns. Yet persistent delays in residence permit renewals and reliance on short‑term certificates have increased precariousness for long‑term residents, undermining legal certainty and stable socio‑economic integration. Integration governance has strengthened institutionally, especially for unaccompanied minors and other vulnerable groups, but the growing linkage between protection status and labour market participation reflects a shift toward conditional, economically driven inclusion.
Taken together, developments during 2024–2025 point to a migration governance model at a crossroads, where selective openness and administrative modernisation coexist with deterrence‑oriented measures and heightened enforcement. The long‑term sustainability of this evolving approach will depend on Greece’s ability to reconcile control objectives with procedural safeguards, social cohesion, and the protection of fundamental rights.
Experts
