Ino Afentouli argues that the new war in Iran bears the unmistakable political hallmark of Donald Trump, even as it flatly contradicts his longstanding pledge to extricate the United States from foreign entanglements. She notes that the conflict is complex and fraught with risk, since air power alone is unlikely to topple the regime in Iran, while a ground intervention would be extremely risky, given the United States’ experiences in Afghanistan and Iraq. Despite the strong military advantage enjoyed by the US and Israel, the war has an uncertain outcome and could have wider regional consequences.

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Publication: 08/03/2026 Ta Nea
Experts
Imperial Democracy
Ino Afentouli Senior Policy Advisor; Head of the Observatory of Geopolitics and Diplomacy